![]() ![]() While Escobar won reelection, it was by a much tighter margin. In other words, the district is about 33 percent more Democratic than the average congressional district, and so the winner would be expected to be a Democrat who won by about 33 points. Political analysis site FiveThirtyEight reports that the 16th Congressional District, as currently drawn, has a “partisan lean” (defined as “the average margin difference between how district votes and how the country votes overall”) of D+33. ![]() Robert Francis “Beto” O’Rourke (D) declined to seek reelection to run (unsuccessfully) for the U.S. The district has been represented in the House by Rep. The 16th Congressional District is both the westernmost and the smallest of the five, wholly contained within El Paso County, which is about 83 percent Hispanic. ![]() There are five congressional districts along that border, from west to east: the 16th (El Paso), 23rd (Del Rio), 28th (Laredo), 15th (McAllen), and 34th (Brownsville) congressional districts. The Southwest border is 1,954 miles long, and the majority of it - 1,254 miles - runs between Texas and Mexico along the Rio Grande, from El Paso in the west all the way to the Gulf of Mexico. It’s a lesson for candidates from both parties. Henry Cuellar, a pro-life border hawk beat Republican challenger Cassie Garcia by 13.2 percentage points. As the final numbers trickle in from the congressional midterm elections, one thing is clear: In the five heavily Hispanic districts along the Rio Grande in Texas, Republicans did better than expected, with one notable exception - Texas’ 28th Congressional District, where Democratic incumbent Rep. ![]()
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